Southern Illinois
MVFC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#22
+10.0 pts · likely #10–45
Strength of schedule
42.3
#27 of 128
Strength of victory
21.0
#36
Record SOS
0.547
Opp. 57.2% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
58.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Samford | W 22-18 | −7.3 | +2.6 | 0.177 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 1 | at West Florida | L 31-34 | −1.3 | +2.6 | 0.301 | 2 | −1.0 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 34-20 | +3.8 | −2.6 | 0.299 | 2 | +14.3 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 46-6 | −8.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Illinois State · p 0.615
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.484
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.326
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.755
- Wk 12: at North Dakota · p 0.746
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at IllinoisFBS · L 10-48