Samford
Southern · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#99
−6.0 pts · likely #65–113
Strength of schedule
39.4
#30 of 128
Strength of victory
1.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 49.0% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
46.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | L 18-22 | +11.5 | −2.6 | 0.496 | 2 | +3.5 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | L 10-22 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 0.304 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 2 | at Tennessee Tech | L 19-45 | +11.0 | +2.6 | 0.623 | 1 | −12.6 |
| 4 | vs VMI | W 45-7 | −21.3 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Mercer · p 0.498
- Wk 8: at Furman · p 0.391
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.328
- Wk 10: at East Tennessee State · p 0.629
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.486
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at UABFBS · L 14-33