Mercer
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#14
+12.2 pts · likely #6–39
Strength of schedule
22.1
#98 of 128
Strength of victory
23.7
#25
Record SOS
0.368
Opp. 26.7% · Opp. opp. 57.1%
Remaining SOS
42.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 62-3 | −5.6 | −2.8 | 0.120 | 3 | +25.0 |
| 1 | vs East Texas A&M | W 23-15 | −2.5 | −2.8 | 0.166 | 3 | +4.2 |
| 2 | vs Furman | L 13-20 | −3.2 | −2.8 | 0.155 | 3 | −8.9 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 34-17 | +11.4 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.485
- Wk 7: at Samford · p 0.219
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.112
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.541
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.680
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.481
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia TechFBS · L 11-44