Furman
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#61
+0.8 pts · likely #31–91
Strength of schedule
42.0
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
74.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.652
Opp. 79.2% · Opp. opp. 37.4%
Remaining SOS
31.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | W 20-13 | +15.6 | +2.8 | 0.740 | 1 | +21.9 |
| 3 | vs South Carolina State | L 17-20 | +2.0 | −2.8 | 0.254 | 2 | −2.9 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 9-13 | +3.3 | +2.8 | 0.423 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 5 | vs Wofford | L 25-32 | +2.4 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.680
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.124
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.485
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.201
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.392
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.022
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Anderson (SC)DII · W 20-3
- Wk 1: at TennesseeFBS · L 9-56