Abilene Christian
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#26
+8.5 pts · likely #12–55
Strength of schedule
50.3
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
39.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.670
Opp. 76.7% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
39.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lamar | L 14-21 | +12.5 | +2.8 | 0.665 | 1 | +8.0 |
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 7-26 | +17.3 | −2.8 | 0.646 | 1 | −3.1 |
| 3 | at Idaho | W 41-39 | +5.7 | +2.8 | 0.488 | 2 | +10.4 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 17-34 | +8.8 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.116
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.396
- Wk 9: vs West Georgia · p 0.259
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.716
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.691
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-33