East Texas A&M
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#74
−1.0 pts · likely #43–99
Strength of schedule
43.7
#19 of 128
Strength of victory
18.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 44.5%
Remaining SOS
38.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-44 | +17.2 | +2.8 | 0.773 | 1 | −13.5 |
| 1 | at Mercer | L 15-23 | +13.3 | +2.8 | 0.685 | 1 | +6.9 |
| 2 | vs Northwestern State | W 38-14 | −18.8 | −2.8 | 0.019 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 4 | at McNeese | L 24-27 | +0.9 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.392
- Wk 8: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.229
- Wk 9: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.376
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.286
- Wk 11: at Lamar · p 0.665
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.380
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 0-42