San Diego
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#111
−11.1 pts · likely #86–118
Strength of schedule
41.5
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
49.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.640
Opp. 79.2% · Opp. opp. 33.7%
Remaining SOS
12.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +4.6 | −2.7 | 0.315 | 2 | −26.9 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +7.6 | +2.7 | 0.534 | 1 | −21.9 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +6.0 | +2.7 | 0.491 | 2 | +6.7 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 17-50 | −0.7 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Davidson · p 0.006
- Wk 6: at Butler · p 0.212
- Wk 7: vs Valparaiso · p 0.019
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.309
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.155
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.177
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.010