Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#61
+1.1 pts · likely #31–92
Strength of schedule
26.9
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
38.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.296
Opp. 11.1% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
43.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Idaho | W 38-34 | +3.3 | −2.7 | 0.286 | 2 | +4.0 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | L 35-38 | −15.8 | −2.7 | 0.031 | 4 | −16.8 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 31-27 | +5.9 | +2.7 | 0.490 | 2 | +10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Weber State · p 0.232
- Wk 6: at Idaho State · p 0.609
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.355
- Wk 8: vs Utah Tech · p 0.085
- Wk 9: at Montana State · p 0.820
- Wk 10: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.391
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.546
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 24-17
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 20-30