Idaho State
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#17
+10.5 pts · likely #9–47
Strength of schedule
21.6
#79 of 128
Strength of victory
21.6
#22
Record SOS
0.352
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 61.1%
Remaining SOS
38.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs VMI | W 38-10 | −23.3 | −2.7 | 0.009 | 4 | +3.5 |
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 59-17 | −9.3 | −2.7 | 0.077 | 4 | +21.2 |
| 4 | at Southern Utah | W 28-24 | +8.6 | +2.7 | 0.561 | 1 | +14.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.391
- Wk 6: vs Cal Poly · p 0.233
- Wk 7: at Weber State · p 0.356
- Wk 8: vs Portland State · p 0.151
- Wk 9: at Utah Tech · p 0.156
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.710
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.847
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.267
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Utah StateFBS · W 29-17