Incarnate Word
Southland · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#51
+2.7 pts · likely #30–76
Strength of schedule
38.5
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
45.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.536
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
29.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −4.8 | +2.4 | 0.219 | 3 | −13.7 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +3.8 | −2.4 | 0.303 | 2 | +11.0 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +6.3 | +2.4 | 0.491 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +15.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Lamar · p 0.403
- Wk 11: at Northwestern State · p 0.057
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.592
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.114
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48