Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#32
+6.6 pts · likely #18–59
Strength of schedule
43.2
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
30.1
#17
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 42.7% · Opp. opp. 57.7%
Remaining SOS
31.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −3.7 | −2.4 | 0.153 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +9.4 | +2.4 | 0.576 | 1 | +14.2 |
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 31-23 | +3.3 | −2.4 | 0.292 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 5 | at Portland State | W 31-17 | −9.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Idaho · p 0.364
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.229
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.345
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.305
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38