Nicholls State
Southland · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#72
−2.1 pts · likely #49–97
Strength of schedule
38.4
#27 of 129
Strength of victory
26.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 56.8% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
31.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +5.3 | −2.4 | 0.340 | 2 | +14.3 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +3.3 | −2.4 | 0.292 | 2 | −22.5 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | −1.3 | +2.4 | 0.295 | 2 | −16.8 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 17-24 | +8.5 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.063
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.474
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.029
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.711
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35