Abilene Christian
UAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#21
+9.6 pts · likely #12–47
Strength of schedule
42.8
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
43.8
#1
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 53.4% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
46.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | W 28-20 | +14.4 | −2.4 | 0.582 | 1 | +18.4 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-31 | +10.8 | −2.4 | 0.485 | 2 | +20.3 |
| 5 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-38 | −1.9 | +2.4 | 0.282 | 2 | −25.9 |
| 6 | vs North Alabama | W 52-23 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Tarleton State · p 0.784
- Wk 11: vs Utah Tech · p 0.162
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.350
- Wk 13: at Central Arkansas · p 0.397
- Wk 14: vs Lamar · p 0.403
- Wk 15: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.670
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TulsaFBS · L 7-35
- Wk 3: at TCUFBS · L 21-42