Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#42
+4.6 pts · likely #24–70
Strength of schedule
59.6
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
51.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.691
Opp. 78.3% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
41.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | W 41-17 | −1.2 | +2.2 | 0.294 | 2 | +22.5 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 17-35 | +10.8 | +2.2 | 0.608 | 1 | −3.1 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | W 32-24 | +15.9 | +2.2 | 0.732 | 1 | +22.4 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 27-34 | +16.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Montana State · p 0.852
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.129
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.322
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.497
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.280
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UtahFBS · L 9-63
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 56-7