San Diego
Pioneer · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#83
−3.7 pts · likely #57–102
Strength of schedule
36.2
#44 of 129
Strength of victory
33.0
#12
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 57.4%
Remaining SOS
5.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | L 17-41 | +2.4 | −2.2 | 0.276 | 2 | −21.6 |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 30-27 OT | +8.3 | −2.2 | 0.424 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 7-41 | +26.3 | +2.2 | 0.907 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 4 | at Princeton | W 42-35 | −0.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Davidson · p 0.017
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.140
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.016
- Wk 12: vs Butler · p 0.107
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.014