St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#64
−0.3 pts · likely #41–92
Strength of schedule
22.2
#105 of 129
Strength of victory
19.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.420
Opp. 38.3% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
28.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +5.7 | −2.2 | 0.355 | 2 | +21.7 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +3.9 | +2.2 | 0.423 | 2 | −1.2 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −4.2 | +2.2 | 0.227 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −9.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.008
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.014
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.071
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.363
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.296
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.948
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7