Butler
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#95
−6.7 pts · likely #69–113
Strength of schedule
25.0
#100 of 129
Strength of victory
22.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
15.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-38 | −3.4 | +2.2 | 0.245 | 3 | −22.8 |
| 4 | at Weber State | L 24-38 | −3.6 | +2.2 | 0.240 | 3 | −14.0 |
| 5 | vs Marist | W 31-28 | −10.9 | −2.2 | 0.067 | 4 | −10.1 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 21-14 OT | +2.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.217
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.258
- Wk 11: at Morehead State · p 0.036
- Wk 12: at San Diego · p 0.240
- Wk 13: vs Valparaiso · p 0.008
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Truman StateDII · W 37-27
- Wk 3: at HanoverDIII · W 16-7