Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#68
−1.0 pts · likely #45–93
Strength of schedule
43.5
#18 of 129
Strength of victory
22.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
52.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 38-14 | −4.3 | −2.2 | 0.147 | 3 | +15.1 |
| 3 | vs Eastern Washington | W 17-14 | +3.3 | −2.2 | 0.297 | 2 | +3.9 |
| 4 | at Utah Tech | L 9-20 | −4.1 | +2.2 | 0.229 | 3 | −11.9 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota | L 7-35 | +14.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota · p 0.462
- Wk 9: at Southern Illinois · p 0.727
- Wk 10: at Illinois State · p 0.483
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.069
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.948
- Wk 13: vs Youngstown State · p 0.455
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 7-31