Weber State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#72
−2.2 pts · likely #49–101
Strength of schedule
38.1
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
16.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
45.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at McNeese | W 42-41 | −5.3 | +2.2 | 0.205 | 3 | −2.1 |
| 4 | vs Butler | W 38-24 | −5.9 | −2.2 | 0.124 | 3 | +5.1 |
| 5 | at UC Davis | L 12-34 | +15.9 | +2.2 | 0.732 | 1 | −3.6 |
| 7 | vs Sacramento State | L 27-55 | +9.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.202
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.280
- Wk 10: vs Montana · p 0.629
- Wk 11: at Montana State · p 0.910
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.322
- Wk 13: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.380
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 10-45
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-48