Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#14
+12.7 pts · likely #7–36
Strength of schedule
42.8
#19 of 129
Strength of victory
37.0
#7
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 64.3%
Remaining SOS
34.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +10.6 | +2.2 | 0.601 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +7.2 | −2.2 | 0.393 | 2 | +20.4 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | −6.2 | −2.2 | 0.119 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 6 | at Incarnate Word | W 31-17 | +10.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Nicholls State · p 0.195
- Wk 9: at East Texas A&M · p 0.268
- Wk 10: vs UTRGV · p 0.231
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.158
- Wk 12: vs Lamar · p 0.390
- Wk 13: at Northwestern State · p 0.058
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.517
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.910
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0