Abilene Christian
UAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 25% of the time
Power
#19
+11.6 pts · likely #9–40
Strength of schedule
44.0
#17 of 129
Strength of victory
45.3
#1
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
47.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | W 28-20 | +14.2 | −2.2 | 0.583 | 1 | +18.5 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-31 | +10.6 | −2.2 | 0.484 | 2 | +20.2 |
| 5 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-38 | +2.6 | +2.2 | 0.387 | 2 | −19.8 |
| 6 | vs North Alabama | W 52-23 | −5.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southern Utah · p 0.494
- Wk 10: vs Tarleton State · p 0.734
- Wk 11: vs Utah Tech · p 0.175
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.501
- Wk 13: at Central Arkansas · p 0.364
- Wk 14: vs Lamar · p 0.390
- Wk 15: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.658
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TulsaFBS · L 7-35
- Wk 3: at TCUFBS · L 21-42