Montana
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-0 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 8.2% of the time
Power
#8
+15.5 pts · likely #5–25
Strength of schedule
37.1
#39 of 129
Strength of victory
37.1
#6
Record SOS
0.582
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 61.3%
Remaining SOS
51.7
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota | W 24-23 | +17.1 | −2.2 | 0.656 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 4 | vs Indiana State | W 63-20 | +1.0 | −2.2 | 0.245 | 3 | +30.1 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 41-30 | +3.5 | −2.2 | 0.301 | 2 | +12.4 |
| 6 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | −2.2 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.178
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.656
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.273
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.280
- Wk 12: at Portland State · p 0.202
- Wk 13: vs Montana State · p 0.852
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota State · p 0.844
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.462
- Wk 17: at Montana State · p 0.910
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 42-17