Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 9-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#8
+15.9 pts · likely #4–20
Strength of schedule
30.8
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
27.2
#30
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
74.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +12.5 | +1.6 | 0.635 | 1 | +6.5 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +3.9 | −1.6 | 0.326 | 2 | +18.9 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | −0.4 | −1.6 | 0.229 | 3 | +15.4 |
| 6 | at Incarnate Word | W 31-17 | +6.9 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.579
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.911
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0