Nicholls State
Southland · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#70
−0.6 pts · likely #48–88
Strength of schedule
39.2
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
20.1
#58
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +8.1 | −1.6 | 0.434 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +4.9 | −1.6 | 0.351 | 2 | −20.3 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | +3.0 | +1.6 | 0.383 | 2 | −13.9 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 17-24 | +6.7 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35