Abilene Christian
UAC · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 8.9% of the time
Power
#17
+13.1 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
44.2
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
43.6
#2
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
56.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | W 28-20 | +17.6 | −1.6 | 0.684 | 1 | +22.5 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-31 | +8.9 | −1.6 | 0.456 | 2 | +20.3 |
| 5 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-38 | +3.1 | +1.6 | 0.384 | 2 | −23.1 |
| 6 | vs North Alabama | W 52-23 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Lamar · p 0.393
- Wk 15: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.734
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TulsaFBS · L 7-35
- Wk 3: at TCUFBS · L 21-42