Cal Poly
Big Sky · 3-7 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#57
+2.3 pts · likely #36–76
Strength of schedule
52.4
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
42.5
#4
Record SOS
0.601
Opp. 64.9% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | W 41-17 | +0.8 | +1.6 | 0.328 | 2 | +24.9 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 17-35 | +16.3 | +1.6 | 0.726 | 1 | −0.7 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | W 32-24 | +12.0 | +1.6 | 0.624 | 1 | +19.5 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 27-34 | +13.9 | −1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UtahFBS · L 9-63
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 56-7