Nicholls State
Southland · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#73
−1.4 pts · likely #50–90
Strength of schedule
34.8
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
18.7
#57
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 49.1% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
70.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +8.0 | −1.9 | 0.422 | 2 | +18.4 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +5.0 | −1.9 | 0.344 | 2 | −20.5 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | +1.4 | +1.9 | 0.351 | 2 | −15.0 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 17-24 | +7.5 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.705
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35