Incarnate Word
Southland · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#37
+6.2 pts · likely #23–57
Strength of schedule
39.7
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
36.0
#7
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 60.6% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
8.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −3.0 | +1.9 | 0.247 | 3 | −13.6 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +4.1 | −1.9 | 0.323 | 2 | +12.3 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +8.6 | +1.9 | 0.542 | 1 | +2.9 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +16.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48