Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 14% of the time
Power
#9
+15.6 pts · likely #5–22
Strength of schedule
32.6
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
29.0
#23
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
50.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +11.5 | +1.9 | 0.617 | 1 | +5.9 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +3.4 | −1.9 | 0.304 | 2 | +17.7 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | −2.1 | −1.9 | 0.189 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 6 | at Incarnate Word | W 31-17 | +6.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Northwestern State · p 0.043
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.544
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.914
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0