Northwestern State
Southland · 1-8 vs FCS · 1-10 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−19.3 pts · likely #117–127
Strength of schedule
30.4
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
13.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.462
Opp. 46.1% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
63.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −5.6 | −1.9 | 0.131 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | +2.8 | +1.9 | 0.386 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 6 | vs East Texas A&M | L 10-40 | −6.1 | −1.9 | 0.125 | 3 | −37.0 |
| 7 | at Houston Christian | L 17-20 | −12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.636
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70