Villanova
CAA · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#15
+12.7 pts · likely #8–33
Strength of schedule
33.4
#50 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#22
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 51.6% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
56.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +0.0 | −2.0 | 0.228 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +10.0 | +2.0 | 0.581 | 1 | −5.0 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +4.4 | −2.0 | 0.327 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +10.8 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.364
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.188
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.724
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.744
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.850
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.497
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52