Elon
CAA · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#48
+3.4 pts · likely #32–71
Strength of schedule
37.0
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
25.0
#39
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
13.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Davidson | W 55-7 | −21.1 | −2.0 | 0.015 | 4 | +12.6 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | W 37-31 | +7.4 | +2.0 | 0.513 | 1 | +15.2 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 16-26 | +5.8 | +2.0 | 0.468 | 2 | −1.6 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | W 41-20 | −13.4 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.218
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.057
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 17-45