William & Mary
CAA · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#41
+5.0 pts · likely #25–62
Strength of schedule
28.6
#79 of 129
Strength of victory
20.1
#53
Record SOS
0.507
Opp. 50.2% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
16.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −5.0 | +2.0 | 0.207 | 3 | −4.6 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | +5.6 | −2.0 | 0.358 | 2 | +5.5 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −1.1 | −2.0 | 0.206 | 3 | +22.2 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +12.7 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.081
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.256
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55