Monmouth
CAA · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#23
+11.1 pts · likely #10–39
Strength of schedule
29.0
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
28.3
#27
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
7.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Colgate | W 42-39 | +0.1 | +2.0 | 0.320 | 2 | +4.3 |
| 2 | at Fordham | W 49-28 | −9.3 | +2.0 | 0.134 | 3 | +13.4 |
| 4 | vs Villanova | W 51-33 | +14.3 | −2.0 | 0.590 | 1 | +28.8 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 49-38 | −2.8 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.095
- Wk 13: vs UAlbany · p 0.062
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 35-42