Stony Brook
CAA · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#39
+5.9 pts · likely #23–60
Strength of schedule
27.8
#81 of 129
Strength of victory
15.1
#67
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
36.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +10.2 | −2.0 | 0.480 | 2 | −4.3 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −8.9 | −2.0 | 0.089 | 4 | +11.6 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −3.0 | +2.0 | 0.249 | 3 | −3.0 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | −2.4 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.644
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42