Towson
CAA · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#44
+4.3 pts · likely #27–69
Strength of schedule
30.7
#72 of 129
Strength of victory
14.0
#69
Record SOS
0.397
Opp. 33.9% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
24.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −12.9 | +2.1 | 0.089 | 4 | +8.8 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −5.2 | +2.1 | 0.206 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +12.8 | −2.1 | 0.545 | 1 | +7.4 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −10.2 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.516
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.094
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.136
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44