Youngstown State
MVFC · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#16
+12.4 pts · likely #9–34
Strength of schedule
46.3
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
25.4
#33
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 57.5% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
41.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −5.5 | −2.1 | 0.130 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −7.8 | −2.1 | 0.100 | 4 | +24.6 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +3.4 | +2.1 | 0.407 | 2 | +9.3 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +18.3 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.577
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.250
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.301
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.516
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41