Morgan State
MEAC · 0-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#123
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#87
−4.9 pts · likely #59–109
Strength of schedule
26.7
#87 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 36.2%
Remaining SOS
21.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Towson | L 22-27 | +4.0 | −2.1 | 0.316 | 2 | −2.8 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | L 24-27 | −6.7 | +2.1 | 0.178 | 3 | −7.9 |
| 9 | at Howard | L 27-33 OT | −8.3 | +2.1 | 0.151 | 3 | −9.2 |
| 10 | at South Carolina State | L 30-36 | +4.1 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Delaware State · p 0.184
- Wk 12: at Norfolk State · p 0.082
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.386
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 21-38
- Wk 3: at ToledoFBS · L 0-60
- Wk 4: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 27-0
- Wk 5: vs (N) Miles CollegeDII · W 24-17
- Wk 7: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-6