Stony Brook
CAA · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#34
+6.0 pts · likely #23–60
Strength of schedule
32.4
#60 of 129
Strength of victory
20.0
#53
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 53.5% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
25.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +8.5 | −2.1 | 0.430 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −6.4 | −2.1 | 0.117 | 3 | +13.9 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −2.2 | +2.1 | 0.269 | 2 | −1.9 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | +0.5 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.063
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.628
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42