South Dakota
MVFC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#21
+10.3 pts · likely #12–39
Strength of schedule
41.4
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
32.3
#12
Record SOS
0.571
Opp. 57.9% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
62.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lamar | L 13-20 | +5.0 | +2.1 | 0.450 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 3 | vs Northern Colorado | W 24-17 OT | −1.9 | −2.1 | 0.188 | 3 | −0.3 |
| 4 | vs Drake | W 42-21 | +3.3 | −2.1 | 0.297 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 13-51 | +30.7 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.690
- Wk 12: at Southern Illinois · p 0.685
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.263
- Wk 15: at Mercer · p 0.681
- Wk 17: at Montana · p 0.789
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 7-55