Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#71
−1.2 pts · likely #46–93
Strength of schedule
50.9
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
34.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 56.0% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
31.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +10.8 | +2.1 | 0.604 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −12.9 | +2.1 | 0.089 | 4 | −7.4 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | +0.7 | −2.1 | 0.241 | 3 | −8.0 |
| 7 | at Idaho | W 49-33 | +10.7 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.493
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.356
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.108
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21