Idaho State
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#55
+2.1 pts · likely #32–80
Strength of schedule
59.7
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
53.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.635
Opp. 68.9% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
34.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 24-46 | +8.8 | +2.1 | 0.551 | 1 | −9.6 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 26-18 | +0.4 | +2.1 | 0.330 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 6 | vs Montana | L 38-42 | +20.0 | −2.1 | 0.728 | 1 | +12.2 |
| 7 | at Montana State | L 14-48 | +25.3 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.308
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.205
- Wk 13: at Idaho · p 0.508
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UNLVFBS · L 31-38
- Wk 2: at New MexicoFBS · L 22-32
- Wk 4: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 90-0