Indiana State
MVFC · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#60
+1.1 pts · likely #37–84
Strength of schedule
65.1
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
50.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.681
Opp. 75.1% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
38.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38-14 | −3.7 | −2.1 | 0.157 | 3 | +16.7 |
| 4 | at Montana | L 20-63 | +16.8 | +2.1 | 0.751 | 1 | −14.7 |
| 6 | at Southern Illinois | L 27-55 | +12.2 | +2.1 | 0.642 | 1 | −13.4 |
| 7 | vs South Dakota | L 14-19 | +9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.645
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.072
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs McKendreeDII · W 41-24
- Wk 3: at IndianaFBS · L 0-73