Southern Illinois
MVFC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#15
+12.5 pts · likely #8–32
Strength of schedule
44.7
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
30.2
#17
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 60.0%
Remaining SOS
55.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | W 37-10 | +8.1 | +2.1 | 0.533 | 1 | +34.8 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 59-31 | +2.0 | +2.1 | 0.371 | 2 | +30.5 |
| 6 | vs Indiana State | W 55-27 | +2.9 | −2.1 | 0.288 | 2 | +27.0 |
| 7 | at North Dakota State | L 17-45 | +31.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Youngstown State · p 0.645
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.463
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.541
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 49-3
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 17-34