Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#62
+0.5 pts · likely #40–87
Strength of schedule
38.9
#28 of 129
Strength of victory
13.5
#73
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
25.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 30-21 | −3.7 | −2.1 | 0.158 | 3 | +3.0 |
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 14-41 | +32.6 | +2.1 | 0.960 | 1 | +6.7 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 31-59 | +11.8 | −2.1 | 0.519 | 1 | −17.6 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-34 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.415
- Wk 12: at Western Illinois · p 0.146
- Wk 13: vs Lindenwood · p 0.205
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 24-42