Furman
Southern · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#82
−3.7 pts · likely #59–101
Strength of schedule
31.3
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
25.5
#32
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
18.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs William & Mary | W 23-21 | +5.8 | −2.1 | 0.360 | 2 | +5.0 |
| 2 | vs Presbyterian | L 38-39 OT | +1.1 | −2.1 | 0.249 | 3 | −3.3 |
| 3 | at Campbell | W 28-24 | −4.5 | +2.1 | 0.219 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | at Samford | W 31-13 | −13.5 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Chattanooga · p 0.341
- Wk 12: vs VMI · p 0.034