Western Carolina
Southern · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#32
+6.9 pts · likely #19–57
Strength of schedule
25.2
#93 of 129
Strength of victory
24.1
#40
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
33.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | L 45-52 | +2.1 | −2.1 | 0.272 | 2 | −5.5 |
| 3 | vs Elon | L 31-37 | +3.4 | −2.1 | 0.301 | 2 | −3.8 |
| 4 | vs Samford | W 50-35 | −15.4 | −2.1 | 0.036 | 4 | −0.1 |
| 5 | at Campbell | W 42-35 | −5.4 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Mercer · p 0.573
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.367
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.062
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-42