William & Mary
CAA · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#41
+5.1 pts · likely #23–62
Strength of schedule
28.6
#78 of 129
Strength of victory
19.8
#55
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 53.9% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
18.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −4.1 | +2.1 | 0.229 | 3 | −3.6 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | +4.9 | −2.1 | 0.338 | 2 | +4.6 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −1.3 | −2.1 | 0.200 | 3 | +21.9 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +11.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.208
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.098
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.258
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55