Mercer
Southern · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#13
+14.5 pts · likely #6–26
Strength of schedule
24.1
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
24.8
#38
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 44.1% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
39.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −1.8 | −2.1 | 0.191 | 3 | −7.3 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +0.8 | −2.1 | 0.243 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −0.1 | +2.1 | 0.317 | 2 | +34.4 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +5.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.475
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.244
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.463