Furman
Southern · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#67
−0.7 pts · likely #42–95
Strength of schedule
25.6
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
7.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.375
Opp. 32.3% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
35.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-24 | −14.2 | −1.7 | 0.046 | 4 | −17.5 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 48-7 | −19.7 | −1.7 | 0.020 | 4 | +11.2 |
| 4 | at William & Mary | L 24-34 | +11.3 | +1.7 | 0.607 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 6 | at The Citadel | W 17-16 | −9.0 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Western Carolina · p 0.310
- Wk 10: at VMI · p 0.054
- Wk 11: vs Wofford · p 0.217
- Wk 12: at East Tennessee State · p 0.508
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.699
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 0-76